HowToLambo: Your Guide to Trading Success

Trading isn’t easy; in fact, it’s one of the most complicated ways to make money in the financial world.  I know that’s not what the mainstream narrative tells you. The same narrative that warns “more than 90% of traders lose money” also sells the illusion that you’ll be part of the 10% who don’t, because deep down, we all think we’re different, smarter, faster, more capable than the crowd. But if you strip away emotion and bias and read that statistic correctly, it’s a harsh truth: you have less than a 10% probability of long-term success. That’s not pessimism; that’s probability. And probability doesn’t lie. Every day, it quietly proves that most “special” traders end up broke, not because markets are unfair, but because they misread the numbers that could have saved them. After more than 20 years in this game, I’ve noticed one thing every losing trader has in common: they ignore what’s painfully obvious. Trading is numbers in an uncertain world. Numbers mean math. Put math in an...

Why Technical Analysis Doesn’t Fail, and How to Make It Work for You Has it ever happened to you that your system or technical analysis gives you the perfect signal… and the trade still goes wrong? And then, other times, with the exact same pattern, everything clicks magically and you end up with textbook profits, the kind proudly posted on social media. Every trader has felt that same confusion at some point. At some stage in their career, every trader has questioned whether technical analysis really works. And if that question still lingers unanswered in your mind, this post is for you. Here, I’ll walk you through why technical analysis sometimes seems to work like magic and other times fails miserably, and, more importantly, how understanding its true role can turn it into a tool that meaningfully strengthens your trading Understanding the Real Role and Reach of Technical Analysis At its core, technical analysis (TA) studies past price and volume behavior. But here’s the key point m...

Most retail traders fall in love with options because they seem to offer the impossible: with just a few hundred dollars you can dream of outsized returns. Fast money, easy money—at least that’s the story. With the right broker account and a handful of trades, the dream of becoming rich feels just around the corner. What you’re not told—and what few truly understand given the complexity of the product—is that the “explosive payout” is not an opportunity. It’s a price. A very high one. And often inflated by the industry itself, knowing that the average investor (or rather, gambler) has no real way to calculate what they’re actually paying for. What you’re really buying is access to an extremely low probability of success, dressed up as a sophisticated strategy. Yes, it’s the same psychology that drives lotteries and sports betting. And in finance, the odds aren’t any kinder. The Baseline: the Where At its simplest, speculation is about anticipating an up or down move in price. Thi...

In our last post, we discovered how expectancy works like a compass — giving us direction and helping us see the road ahead of our trading account. But a compass alone won’t move you forward. To actually get anywhere, you need an engine. And that engine is risk management. Many traders spend years looking for the “perfect” trading system, only to ruin it by stepping too hard on the gas. They don’t blow up because their strategy was flawed — they blow up because their risk was. Risk per Trade: The Accelerator and the Brake Think of risk per trade as the pressure you put on the accelerator. Risk too little, and your system barely moves. Risk too much, and you spin out of control. When you risk a fixed fraction of your account, every trade slightly changes the size of the next one. This creates compounding — the same principle that builds fortunes when handled with care, but wipes accounts when abused. The key takeaway is simple: risk is the throttle of your system. Push it wisely. Drawdo...

There are many possible journeys for your account — some lucky, some painful. But why is it that only one of them really matters? Let’s find out. 1. A Glimpse Into the Future (With All Its Paths) How confident would you feel if your trading plan could show you not just the average outcome you can expect, but also the good, the bad, and even the ugly roads your account might take? In this blog, we’ve talked about expected value as the trader’s true laser vision : the ability to project the evolution of your account instead of obsessing over the price of a single trade. Today, we’ll turn that laser forward in time. We’ll see how expectancy becomes real when trades start piling up, and how a couple of simple simulations let us peek into the different futures of a trading system. 2. The Power of Repetition: When the Average Becomes Real A single trade tells you nothing. It may end in profit, it may end in loss — but in statistical terms, it’s just noise. Things change once you start repeat...